| CURRENT SEASON RECORD |
| Official Plays: |
5-4 |
| Early Looks: |
8-6 |
| Overall: |
13-10 +2.30 UNITS |
|
| NEXT E-MAIL UPDATE |
| *Next subscriber update (Official Plays) will be on THURSDAY before NOON Pacific. If you do not receive an update by this time, please e-mail us immediately so it can be resent. |
RAS NCAA Football - "Early Looks" Report - Week 5
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*All lines current and widely available as of 10:30am PST on Monday, September 24th, 2007.
| RAS "Early Looks" - Week 5 - Two Plays |
Kent State (+2) at Ohio U - 12:00pm Pacific - Game #161-162
The Golden Flashes are coming off a disappointing loss to crosstown rival Akron last week. Kent State was in control most of the game averaging 2.5 more yards per play and finishing with 130 more total yards, but four turnovers set Akron up for three easy scores including touchdown drives of 2 and 33 yards. The loss left Kent at 0-1 in MAC play and in a must win situation this week if they are to contend for a division title. Kent entered the season with 16 returning starters and high expectations. Many followers called this their best team in decades. QB Julian Edelman and RB Eugene Jarvis provide a nice one-two punch on offense and an experienced defense was second best in the conference last year. Ohio returned the fewest number of starters in the MAC and comes in with a 1-2 record vs 1-A opponents. They have been outgained by an average of 203 yards per game vs Lousiana Lafayette, Virginia Tech, and Wyoming despite a combined +6 turnover margin in the three games. Last week vs Wyoming they were +3 turnovers, had a kickoff return for touchdown, and an interception for touchdown but still lost. Two injuries on the offensive line has slowed down the running game that the team relies on so heavily and first year starting QB Brad Bower has mostly been a disappointment so far. Three punting miscues helped lead Ohio to a 17-7 upset win at Kent State last year, but look for Kent to get revenge this Saturday. The Golden Flashes have been a live road dog going 5-2 ATS in last 7.
RAS Early Look: Kent State +2 1/2 UNIT |
UTEP at SMU (-1) - 1:30pm Pacific - Game #149-150
SMU started to show positive signs last week at TCU. They actually had 10 more first downs and 102 more total yards than the Horned Frogs but were burned by a blocked punt return and interception return for touchdowns in a 21-7 loss. SMU also dropped a touchdown pass and failed on two 4th down tries inside the 25. The Mustang offense has underachived so far but could be sitting on a breakout game as they return home and face a much weaker defense. The much maligned SMU defense returned two players from injury and had by far their best performance of the season last week. Starting DE Patrick Handy (stinger) and part time RB Cedric Dorsey (thigh) missed last game but are expected to be ready for UTEP. SMU head coach Phil Bennett has to get to a bowl game this year to save his job which makes this a must win game for the Mustangs. UTEP has been outgained by an average of 173.7ypg against three 1-A opponents. They enter this week ranked just 78th in total offense despite facing the likes of New Mexico State and Texas Southern. Before last game UTEP head coach Mike Price called his team as beat up as any he has ever had. Defensively, the Miners are now without both of their starting cornerbacks indefinitely and Price noted after the game that three starting defensive linemen were "banged up" and would not be 100% for SMU game. Starting QB Vittatoe and several starters were pulled in the second quarter to avoid injuries as redshirts were pulled off of freshman at RB and CB for the game. UTEP covered the +6 for us vs New Mexico State two weeks ago but were outplayed badly and should have lost by double digits. This team does not have any strength right now. Miners are 2-8 straight up in last 10 road games and SMU is 5-2 ATS in last seven as a home favorite. Give the small number.
RAS Early Look: SMU -1 1/2 UNIT |
| Situational Notes - Week 5 |
Teams with "look ahead" potential:
Cincinnati - Plays at Rutgers in Week 6 for Big East opener.
Oklahoma - Faces Texas in red river shootout in Week 6.
Texas - Faces Oklahoma in red river shootout in Week 6.
Georgia - Plays at Tennessee in Week 6.
Kentucky - Plays at South Carolina on short week next Thursday night on ESPN.
LSU - Hosts defending national champion Florida in Week 6. |
Teams coming off big wins:
Miami - Won big on ESPN Thursday night game over ranked Texas A&M last week.
Syracuse - Won outright as 37 point dog at Louisville.
Akron - Fortunate to win rivalry game vs Kent St.
Michigan - Opened Big 10 play with big win over Penn State.
Toledo - Injury plagued team won 36-35 thriller over Iowa State on blocked punt for TD.
Georgia - Won key SEC game in OT at Alabama.
UNLV - Upset Utah in 27-0 shutout as more than a touchdown underdog.
Teams coming off big losses:
Tulsa - Blown out in highly anticipated ESPN game vs Oklahoma.
Mississippi - Had a chance to beat Florida late in game but lost by 6.
Ball State - Had multiple chances for huge upset win at Nebraska but lost by 1.
Duke - Blew 11 point 4th quarter lead and lost to Navy on last second field goal.
Ohio - Blew 17 point 2H lead and gave up TD on 4th down to lose by 1 to Wyoming.
Texas Tech - Lost shootout at Oklahoma State, defensive coordinator resigned following game.
Penn State - Lost once again at big house in best chance in years to break streak.
Maryland - Led 24-3 w/ ball inside the 10 before INT runback sparked huge Wake comeback and win in OT.
South Carolina - Lost big game at LSU.
Central Michigan - Lost by 30 at home to 1-AA North Dakota State.
Colorado State - Blew 14 point second half lead and has now lost 10 straight games.
Iowa State - Lost wild 36-35 game at Toledo.
Alabama - ESPN gameday visited and after rallying to force OT lost by 3 in second straight nailbiter. |
Teams coming off BYE week:
Florida State
Rutgers
Kansas State
Southern Miss
Vanderbilt
LA-Monroe
Boise State
Fresno State
La Tech |
Do not hesitate to contact me with any questions or comments.
Good luck!
Cordially,
Edward
RightAngle Sports
Handicapper.net
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