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November 8 Sheet

NC State (+6.5) at Maryland - 9:00am Pacific
Surprisingly, after one close loss everybody is off the Wolfpack bandwagon. It was indeed just a 7 point loss, as a fumble set up Georgia Tech for a 2 play, 22 yard go ahead touchdown, and another fumble stopped NC State on a drive inside GT territory. It was just one game, and for some reason Georgia Tech always seems to play well vs NC State. The Yellow Jackets have now won 6 of the last 7 meetings between the schools. NC State is still a very good football team. They have been trying to prove themselves all season long and will get a terrific opportunity to do so here today.

QB Phillip Rivers is still #3 in the country in passing efficiency. He has outstanding vision and playmaking ability, very difficult to stop. This guy is a winner. Freshman sensation RB T.A. McClendon is still in the backfield. The offensive line is still doing a great job. Nose tackle Terrance Martin is still plugging up the middle of the line. Free safety Terrence Holt is still all over the field and a major factor in special teams. NC State is still 9-1. Sure, they have not played the most difficult schedule (ranked 89th), but neither has Maryland (ranked 66th).

Maryland has been awesome in its last four games but a closer look suggests the West Virginia & Georgia Tech wins were much closer than the final score indicates. A rescore of those two games taking into account turnovers and total yardage have the Terps beating WVU 25-19 and GT 30-28. Neither of which would cover today's -6.5 spread and NC State is a better team than both. Maryland's latest two wins were just against very bad, beaten up teams in Duke and UNC. The Terps have battled injuries on their offensive line all season long. Starting center Kyle Schmitt will miss another game today while RT Matt Crawford is expected to start but his play will be limited. The verdict is still out on Terps 1st year starting QB Scott McBrien. They have not needed him in their four recent lopsided victories but they will need him today. He went a combined 23-of-49 (46.9%) with 4 interceptions and 0 touchdowns in two early season losses. Even against WVU & GT he went just 19-of-37(51.3%). In a big game atmosphere, much prefer my money on 3rd year starter Phillip Rivers (63% completions on the season).

This is a major respect game for the Wolfpack. NC State is a very good football team and Maryland is simply not good enough to be laying close to a touchdown here. The Wolfpack already have a ton of motivation heading into this game, but they will also be in double revenge mode. They lost to the Terps two straight years, including an intense heartbreaking loss in the final minute last season in Raleigh. They were in this same double revenge situation one other time this season, two weeks ago at Clemson, and came away with a blowout win. The Wolfpack are an amazing 6-0 ATS under Chuck Amato as a road underdog. Take the points.

NC State  1 UNIT

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