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January 25 Sheet

Maryland at Clemson (+7.5) - Game 777-778 - 1:00pm Pacific
I remain high on this Clemson team. In their last home game they managed to beat Virginia despite battling a flu bug and the Cavs shooting a season high 59.2% from the field. Not many teams will beat Virginia when they shoot that well. Prior to that Clemson had lost a two point heartbreaker at UNC and in last game lost by one point at Florida State on a controversial foul call at the buzzer. They could easily be 3-1 in the ACC. Clemson ranks 15th in the nation in FG% at 49.3%, they rank 12th best in the country in rebounding margin at +7.7, they are 15th in the nation in fewest turnovers per game (13), have made more free throws than their opponents have attempted, and have outscored 13 of 14 opponents in the paint.

I talked about senior point guard Edward Scott at length in previous analysis. He is coming off arguably his two worst games of the season as he is just 9-for-27 from the floor in last two games. He still averages 17.2ppg & 6.5apg. He leads the ACC in assist to turnover ratio. I look for him to get back on track today. Sophomore Chey Christie (2nd on team with 11.0ppg) is also coming off a very sub-par game at Florida State where he shot just 1-for-8. It is amazing that the Tigers did so well in the game. Clemson has an outstanding quartet of frontcourt players led by good looking sophomore Sharrod Ford (Maryland native) who will be making his first career start vs the Terps. Thomas Nagys, Ray Henderson, and Chris Hobbs round out the mix. G/F Olu Babalola can do a little of everything and is emerging as a defensive stopper.

Maryland comes into this game off two big wins over Duke and at North Carolina. There is a good chance this will be a letdown game for them. I really felt both Duke & Maryland were overrated heading into their showdown last week. Duke's loss at NC State showed that any team can beat any team in this league. Maryland is nowhere near the level of last years national championship team. They lost four double digit scoring starters from last year, three of which are in the NBA right now. This years team will be lucky to send one senior to the NBA. They are not shabby but just do not have any players who can really separate themselves from others in the league. Maryland is 1-1 in their two ACC road tests, losing soundly at Wake Forest before winning at North Carolina. This is their fourth game in 10 days, third on the road, and first second game of back to back true road games this season (0-2 ATS in only same situations last two seasons).

Having already lost to Duke at home, this is Clemson's last chance of the season to get a marquee win at home. Beating the defending national champions would be huge for this program. Clemson has defeated at least one ranked team at home in 17 straight seasons. They can play with Maryland and have a shot at the outright upset making the plus points a great value.

Clemson  2 UNITS

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