November 12 - Week 12
Indiana at Minnesota (-14) -
9:00am Pacific
Could not be any more impressed with the season the Golden
Gophers are putting together. They have not played a single
bad game yet. Their three losses have been by a combined total
of 11 points and all were vs ranked teams at the time. They
have blown out the teams they were supposed to and last week
knocked off #2 Penn State on the road. QB Cockerham and RB
Hamner have been a difficult tandem for anyone to stop. They
had the nations best defense on their heels last week which
says alot. The Gophers defense has been a strength all season.
They have given up more than 20 points only twice all season
(Purdue & Penn St). Young defensive coordinator David
Gibbs has done a tremendous job along with head coach Glen
Mason since their arrival here 3 years ago. Indiana is only
fooling themselves if they think they can win their final two
games and become bowl eligible. It will not happen. The
Hoosiers defense is downright horrible. They were bad to begin
with, and lost by far their best defensive player DE Ogunleye
(1st team Big 10) last month. Taking away Ball State and
Northwestern, Indiana has given up 41 points per game!
Including 31 points to Iowa! This will be a showcase game for
the Gophers in their final home game of the season. A big win
this week and another big win next week at Iowa and Minnesota
will find themselves in a major bowl game. Their first bowl
game since 1986! Minnesota is 21-10 ATS overall under Mason
and 6-3 ATS as a home favorite. Gophers roll. Minnesota
1 UNIT
Stanford (+3) at Arizona State
- 3:30pm Pacific
Both teams need this win to become bowl eligible and to keep
their slim Rose Bowl chances alive. We think Stanford deserves
the billing as the Pac-10's best team this year. Last year the
Cardinals should have beat Arizona State as a +15.5 point
underdog in Tempe but ended up losing in overtime. This year
Stanford is a much improved team in every aspect of the game.
The offense has been virtually unstoppable. Senior QB Todd
Husak is solid, his receiving corps may be the best in the
nation, the offensive line is experienced, and freshman RB
Kerry Carter has provided a spark to the ground game. The
Stanford defense does not have very good numbers but they have
found ways to stop teams at the right times. This team simply
gets wins. They would be a perfect 6-0 in the Pac-10 if not
for an unfortunate loss at Washington two weeks ago. A big key
here is the way the two teams are coming into this game.
Arizona State will be playing its 9th consecutive game without
a BYE week. The SunDevils star JR Redmond suffered 3 thigh
bruises last week vs USC but will play. ASU is hurting badly
at wide receiver and in their secondary. Redmond actually was
forced to start at safety last week! A banged up secondary is
the last thing you want when going up against Stanford. On the
other hand the Cardinals are coming off a BYE week and have
had two weeks to prepare for this. Stanford is completely
healthy and have had great recent success following a BYE week
under coach Willingham. They beat Oregon State straight up off
a BYE week earlier this year and last year should have beaten
UCLA straight up as a +28.5 point underdog following a BYE
week. Stanford already owns road wins at Arizona and at USC.
We think Stanford is the better team here and are much better
prepared. Cardinals win straight up. Stanford 1
UNIT
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