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January 2005 - Added Looks
1/6/05
UCSB at Utah State
(-15, play to -16) - 6:05pm Pacific - Game
#737-738
The Aggies of Utah State are not
going to have to do much to turn this into a blowout. UCSB
suffered yet another significant blow when senior forward
Casey Cook suffered a severe ankle injury in last game at
CSUN. He has been declared unlikely to return this season.
Cook led the team in scoring and was second in rebounds
while also being a top notch position defender. The Gauchos
are now down to six scholarship players. I was at the CSUN
game and they did not look very good even with Cook in, but
were plain awful without him. Sophomore Glenn Turner will
start in his place. Turner has good size but is
inexperienced, not strong with the ball, and is very prone
to foul trouble. There is now zero size off the bench.
Utah State was upset in their conference opener at Idaho and
should be focused enough for their first conference home
game tonight. Utah State is 6-0 at home with an average
winning margin of 30. Wins include Utah by 26, BYU by 14,
and LMU by 45. Give the points.
Added Look: Utah State -15
1/2 UNIT
1/8/05
UAB at South Florida (+3.5) -
10:00am Pacific - Game #737-738
The Bulls were able to rally from a 10 point halftime
deficit and win on the road at East Carolina on
Wednesday. That was a big confidence boosting win for
this team. UAB has not been very sharp lately having to
come from behind to beat Southern Miss last time out.
They are 2-2 in road games with both wins coming vs bad
teams Marshall and South Alabama, and by narrow margins,
3 and 6 respectively. The Blazers needed a 3-pointer at
the buzzer to win here last year when the talent
disparity between these two was much wider. Second year
USF coach McCullum is a Birmingham native which adds
extra motivation.
Added Look: South Florida +3.5 1/2 UNIT
Colorado State (+9) at Air Force
- 2:00pm Pacific - Game #791-792
The Rams are coming off a double digit loss at
Pepperdine but had no help from the officials and had
nothing go there way in that one. This is still a good
basketball team. These two met last year in the MWC
conference tournament and CSU emerged victorious by 13
points. Teams have not changed a whole lot since then.
Air Force had won the two regular season meetings last
year but CSU top player 7-0 center Nelson did not play
in either game. The Rams will probably be without
starting forward Williams (mild knee sprain) but they
still have more big bodies inside than some NBA teams.
They dominated the boards in all three meetings last
year and should do so again today. Take the points in
what figures to be a close game either way.
Added Look: Colorado State +9 1/2 UNIT
1/9/05
Southern Illinois at Creighton (-3)
- 12:05pm Pacific - Game #525-526
It has been an up and down season for the Blue Jays but
head coach Dana Altman again has his team ready to
contend for a conference title. Creighton has more
quality performances away from home than any team in the
Missouri Valley. They own wins over Missouri and Ohio
State on a neutral floor, as well as well as true road
wins at Xavier and at Nebraska. They also own an
in-conference road win at Drake. They are 2-1 in MVC
play with the only loss coming at Evansville on a fluke
buzzer beater. Evansville is still undefeated at home
having blown out Northern Iowa on Friday. Creighton
also beat a good Bradley team by 9 in their only other
home conference game but this is easily their marquee
home game of the year. Southern Illinois not only lost
three starters from last year but also a top notch coach
for the second time in two years. They are coming off a
loss at Lafayette and before that had to struggle to
hold off Drake at home. They are 1-3 in true road games
this year with only win coming at Southeast Missouri
State (Sagarin rank of 209). This is a big statement
game for Creighton and I believe they will be
successful. Give the small number.
Added Look: Creighton -3 1/2 UNIT
1/15/05
Georgetown (+7) at
Villanova - 11:00am Pacific - Game #531-532
The Hoyas have been one of the
biggest surprises in the country. They have won six of
their last seven games with the only loss coming vs UConn.
In that span they beat Clemson in Hawaii, won at Pittsburgh
(Panthers 2nd loss ever at new arena), and showed character
coming from behind to beat Rutgers in last game. Villanova
has been hit hard by the injury bug. They first lost
leading scorer and rebounder Curtis Sumpter to a sprained
knee and now will be without starting center Jason Fraser
for 4-6 weeks due to a hand injury suffered at Providence in
last game. In that game Fraser dropped 25 points and
grabbed 13 rebounds. Villanova is now desperate for bodies
on their frontline as they were not deep at all to begin
with. Also it should be noted that Providence played
without starting point guard Donny McGrath (late
scratch/flu) and were still able to force overtime. The
Wildcats had a major airplane scare on their way home and
had a traumatic emergency landing. Take the points here.
Added Look: Georgetown +7
1/2 UNIT
Utah State at CSUN
(+1) - 2:00pm Pacific - Game #685-686
This is supposed to be the year
for the Matadors. They made it to the Big West conference
tournament final last year and lost a close one to Pacific.
All five starters returned this year and expectations were
high until some disappointing non-conference performances
and an opening loss in conference play. Since then CSUN has
put together 5 straight wins. They should be 6-0 in
conference play except for a 1 point OT loss to Fullerton
that they really let slip away. They had a 10 point lead in
the second half of regulation. Prior to the start of the
win streak, head coach Braswell suspended senior guard
Joseph Frazier indefinitely for behavior detrimental to the
team. Freshman Jonathan Heard has stepped in and is playing
superbly in his absence so their is no real loss there.
CSUN welcomes Fox Sports West 2 to town for this game and
are sure to be sky high anyway with perennial conference
heavyweight Utah State paying a visit. The Aggies are 0-2
in Big West road games losing first at Idaho and then at
Pacific on Thursday night in a very hard fought double
overtime game that is sure to have left them weary. Road
trip from Stockton to Northridge is one of the furthest in
the conference and the rare early start time due to TV
broadcast only adds to their woes. Expect CSUN to take this
one.
Added Look: CSUN +1
1/2 UNIT
1/19/05
NC State at Virginia Tech (+5.5)
- 4:00pm Pacific - Game #527-528
This is an athletic and scrappy Hokie team that is
going to play hard for 40 minutes. They are
undersized but make up for it with quickness. Their
tallest starter, 6-9 Coleman Collins had a cyst
removed from his foot and sat out two games in
mid-December that were both losses. Since returning
he has averaged 12.4ppg & 5.8rpg and the team has
played much better. They are improving as
demonstrated by 2 point win over Clemson in last
game, their first ever in ACC play. This will be
Tech's first meaningful home game of the season with
students in session and a lively crowd is expected.
NC State got a much needed win over Georgia Tech on
Sunday but have just two days to travel and prepare
for Tech. I do not think they are in a position to
be giving points on the road. They are 1-3 in road
games this year including a double digit loss to St
John's and are just 1-4 in last five games overall.
Point guard Tony Bethel (colitis) remains sidelined
and forward Levi Watkins (flu) missed last game and
may be less than 100% today. Star G/F Julius Hodge
is battling through ankle & back ailments and
is just 9-for-30 from the field in last three games.
Added Look: Virginia Tech +5.5 1/2
UNIT
Memphis at South Florida (pick)
- 4:00pm Pacific - Game #551-552
The Bulls have proven to be more ready for C-USA
play than most (myself included) thought. They
rallied for a 1 point road win at East Carolina and
followed that up with two narrow losses vs UAB (by
1) and at Marquette (by 2). Both games went right
down to the wire. South Florida had a week off
between the UAB and Marquette games and should still
be relatively fresh. They return home for this game
where they are 5-1 on the season. Terrance Leather
(19.7ppg) and Brian Swift (14.7ppg) continue to be
solid offensive options. Center Solomon Jones has
40 blocked shots on the season, and 9 in 3
conference games. The Bulls are outshooting
opponents .68 percentage points for the season and
.43 in conference. Those numbers are going to win
more ball games that not. Memphis is just 4-6 in
their last 10 games despite playing just one game
away from home in the span. They are coming off a
home loss to TCU which also marked the final game of
the season for forward Sean Banks who later was
ruled academically ineligible for the remainder of
the season. Banks ranks second on the team in
scoring and third in rebounding. Memphis is
also without guard Jeremy Hunt who had missed
several games with injury and is now out due to a
suspension. The Tigers have not been right all
season and now have to play on the road with a
very short bench.
Added Look: South Florida pick 1/2
UNIT
Providence (+1) at Rutgers -
4:30pm Pacific - Game #565-566
The Friars may actually be better on the road than
at home. They are 2-1 in road games this year and
just 6-4 in home games. Last year they went 5-3 in
Big East home games and an impressive 6-2 on the
road. This is a key game for them as they have
started Big East play at 0-3. They have lost at
Boston College who is 10-0, and they led most of
that game. They then lost to Villanova in OT but
played without starting point guard Donny McGrath
(flu/late scratch). Their third loss came on
Saturday narrowly by 4 to Syracuse who is also
undefeated looks to be the best team in the
conference as well as one of the best in the
country. I have not been very high on Rutgers all
season. They are a very young team who rely on hot
shooting to stay competitive in games. They have
lost four straight coming into this game. These two
teams are somewhat similar as both are not very
strong on the interior, but Providence all-American
Ryan Gomes sets the Friars apart. Rutgers won the
only meeting last year hitting a 3-pointer at the
buzzer for a 1 point win. Look for Providence to
get a bit of revenge tonight.
Added Look: Providence +1 1/2 UNIT
Minnesota at Ohio State (-9)
- 5:00pm Pacific - Game #575-576
The Buckeyes have lost three of four games but all
three losses were highly contested road games vs top
notch opposition at Illinois, at Wisconsin, and at
LSU in double OT. They return home tonight where
they are a perfect 10-0 on the season with all wins
coming by double digits. This is more of a play
against Minnesota who is 12-4 but only has 1 win
against an RPI top 150 team (Nebraska - 140). They
are now finally playing vs some real teams and away
from home. The Gophers are coming off a loss at
Iowa 66-60 but the game was really never in doubt as
the Hawkeyes led by double digits early on and for
most of the game. Minnesota is a very young team
and this was their first loss six weeks. Not
surprisingly it was just their second road game of
the season and first in five weeks. It will be
interesting to see how they respond to losing as
well as their first back to back road game situation
of the season. The Gophers shot a season low .333
vs Iowa and could have a tough time finding answers
against a solid Ohio State team. I'm willing to
give the points in this spot.
Added Look: Ohio State -9 1/2 UNIT
Arkansas at LSU (-3) -
5:00pm Pacific - Game #589-590
I am still pretty high on this LSU team. They do
not seem to be getting the respect they deserve
despite coming off back to back impressive wins over
South Carolina by 14 and Ohio State in double OT.
Prior to that they lost at Utah and at Alabama by
double digits but both games were very close at half
and Utah and Alabama have proven to be formidable
opponents judging by their awesome performances
since then. LSU beat Florida State by 17 prior to
that in their first game after exam break that
signaled their improved play. LSU's top six players
are excellent and the bench is improving game to
game. With school in session, the team coming off
two nice wins and with a rival SEC team visiting,
LSU should have a nice crowd for this. Arkansas is
just not quite their yet. The Razorbacks padded
their record with mostly a cupcake schedule early in
the season but are 0-3 in SEC play and did not come
close in either of their two conference road tries
thus far. I believe LSU is the stronger team and I
will gladly give less than 5 points with the Tigers
playing at home.
Added Look: LSU -3 1/2 UNIT
1/22/05
Wisconsin at Michigan (pick)
- 9:15am Pacific - Game #725-726
The Wolverines have won six of seven
games and should continue to improve as
they return key players from injuries.
Point guard Daniel Horton returned to
action five games ago after a month
absence. He is instrumental to the
teams success. High flying forward
Brent Petway returned from a 3 game
absence in last game to score 12 points
and grab 7 rebounds in 22 minutes. He
should be even stronger in his second
game back. Center Graham Brown missed
five weeks of action but returned three
games ago. He has averaged 10.5ppg &
10.5rpg in last two outings. Through
all of the injuries, freshman G/F Ronald
Coleman emerged as a solid scoring
option. He averaged just 1.3ppg in
first six games of the season but
11.5ppg in last eight games. Michigan
has already beaten two ranked teams this
year and will not be intimidated by
Wisconsin. The Badgers are 2-3 on the
road this year with wins coming at
Rutgers and at Purdue. They were beaten
soundly in last road game at Indiana.
Even at home the Badgers have not
looked very strong as they beat Ohio
State by just 6 and needed a miracle
late comeback to beat Michigan State.
Leading scorer Alando Tucker has been
battling injuries which has not helped.
Wisconsin has a quick turnaround
following this as they host #1 Illinois
on ESPN Tuesday night making this a true
sandwich situation.
Michigan State (-5) at
Minnesota - 1:30pm
Pacific - Game #795-796
The Spartans are a well coached,
ranked, solid basketball team. They
have five players averaging in
double figures scoring and a sixth
just below at 9.7ppg. Five of the
top six are upperclassmen.
They should little problem winning
on the road and have already
performed well in two Big 10 road
games this year. They won at Penn
State by 26 on the road and lost a
heartbreaker at Wisconsin by 3 in a
game they led by 8 with under two
minutes to play. They figured to
have a subpar performance following
that game but still managed to hold
off a pesky Purdue squad last time
out. They should be ready to take
care of business today. MSU starter
Alan Anderson (11.9ppg) is a
Minnesota native and will be playing
his final game here so he will have
some extra incentive. Even with
their upset win at Ohio State in OT
on Wednesday, I still believe
the Gophers are overrated. They are
expected to be without starting
center Jeff Hagen (knee/doubtful)
for this game. Head coach Dan
Monson called Hagen "so vital" to
the team when discussing a previous
unrelated injury to Hagen a few
weeks ago. In the Gophers recent
six point loss at Iowa, Hagen
accounted for a team high 15 points
and team high 12 rebounds plus 3 of
the teams 9 assists. Versus Penn
State he went for 18 points and 8
rebounds. He will be missed vs MSU
who is probably the best team the
Gophers have faced all year.
Duke at Florida State
(+7.5) - 3:00pm
Pacific - Game #799-800
The Seminoles have shown
improved play for quite
sometime. They lost by just 2
in OT at Maryland on December
19th and beat Florida easily on
January 2nd. They just have had
some hickups along the way that
has tarnished their
accomplishments. They lost by 2
vs Clemson and by 1 at Miami on
a buzzer beater before finally
getting their big win vs Wake
Forest on Tuesday. FSU is
getting improved backcourt play
as young players continue to
develop. Reserve sophomore
forward Al Thorton has
surprisingly blossomed into a
major impact player for FSU. In
three games vs Maryland,
Florida, and Wake Forest,
Thorton has averaged 19.6ppg and
10.6rpg. Unfortunately, he was
limited by injury in the narrow
losses to Clemson and Miami
(combined for just 2 points in
14 minutes) or else FSU could be
heading into this game on an
impressive 5 game win streak.
FSU has already beaten two very
good teams here in Florida and
Wake Forest and they beat four
ranked teams last year. It was
announced Friday that the game
is officially a sellout, the
first of the year for the
Seminoles. Duke has not really
been tested this year,
particularly on the road, and
they are not going to dominate
anyone physically this year. I
believe they will have their
hands full tonight.
Stanford (+2) at
USC - 3:00pm
Pacific - Game #801-802
The Cardinal have put
together a nice set of
wins. Since point guard
Chris Hernandez
(back) returned from a one
game absence they have
beaten Arizona, won at Cal,
and at UCLA all by double
digits in impressive
fashion. Hernandez was
actually limited to just 24
minutes and a season low 4
points as he battled the flu
and foul trouble on
Thursday but Stanford still
managed to beat a hot UCLA
team on the road by
11. I've been impressed
with recent head coach Trent
Johnson interviews that I
have heard and I believe he
will turn into a
very good hire. I am still
not ready to accept USC as a
favorite. The Trojans did
beat Cal on Thursday but the
Bears played very
shorthanded as leading
scorer Midgely
(shoulder/neck) and key
forward Dominic McGuire
(violation of team rules)
did not play. Cal still
led by as many as 10 early
on and led at half-time
before USC finally went on a
decisive run in the second
half and drew away. The
Trojans do not get much home
court advantage playing at
the Sports Arena. Take the
points.
Arizona at
Oregon State (+5)
- 5:00pm Pacific - Game
#835
The Beavers may have
taken a bit of a step
back as they adjusted to
the return of
all-conference forward
David Lucas who missed
the first 10 games of
the season with a toe
injury. They went
through several
different lineups and
after starting 2-0 in
Pac-10 play lost three
straight on the road at
Oregon, at Washington
State, and at
Washington. They played
the WSU game without
starting guard J.S. Nash
(suspension) which
furthered problems.
They got well in a hurry
on Thursday night as
they returned home and
demolished Arizona State
by 22 points looking
great on both sides of
the ball. They are now
a perfect 7-0 at home
and appear to be going
back to a lineup
featuring their most
experienced players.
Seniors Lucas & Nash,
along with juniors
Stephens, Hurd, and
DeWitz saw the majority
of minutes vs ASU and
only two others saw
double digit minutes.
The Beavers have won 3
of the last 6 meetings
played here including a
6 point win last year so
they are by no means out
of their league.
Arizona has won three
straight since losing at
Stanford but none of the
games have been easy.
They were surprisingly
tested by both USC and
UCLA in recent home
games. Arizona is just
6-6 in their last 12
Pac-10 road games and
have not swept a
single weekend in last
five tries.
Pacific (-3) at UCSB
- 7:00pm Pacific - Game #869-870
The Tigers have now won 9 straight games and
remain a perfect 8-0 in Big West play. They
have been a very good road team in recent
years. This year alone they won at Fresno
State and at Nevada, two teams near the top
of the WAC standings. They also were very
competitive at Kansas losing by just 9.
They play smart team basketball and have
plenty of size and depth. UCSB continues to
battle injury problems. Most recently
freshman guard Derek Rasp has been sidelined
with a bruised lung. The Gauchos have seven
players, not seven scholarship players, just
seven players period. One of them, former
reserve and now starter Glenn Turner twisted
an ankle in last game. He was able to
return hobbled but may not be 100% tonight.
UCSB has won 3 in a row impressively but two
have been against bad teams (Cal Poly, UC
Davis) and Thursday's win over CSUN is not
enough to prove they belong here. Give the
points.
Santa Clara at Pepperdine (-4.5)
- 7:00pm Pacific - Game #873-874
The Waves have now lost a season high three
straight games. They played well enough to
win on Thursday night vs what looked like
a very good St Mary's team but were one play
or call away from getting over the hump.
Despite an evenly played game, Pepperdine
found themselves down 12 early in the second
half. They fought from behind seemingly
forever to finally close the margin to two
points but would get no closer. CSTV
announcer Matt Dougherty called it the worst
officiated game he had seen all season and
Pepperdine head coach Paul Westphal ended up
receiving a rare technical foul at the 4:00
minute mark which put the Waves in an even
deeper hole. Not what you would expect
playing at home. Santa Clara was able to
knock off a beat up LMU team on Thursday
night but will likely find the going much
tougher at Pepperdine. LMU already playing
without starting point guard Brandon Worthy,
had to sit starting forward Daryl Pegram
(knee) for the Santa Clara game. LMU was
still within 5 in the final stages. Even
with two straight road wins, Santa Clara is
just 3-5 on the road this year and have not
swept the LA road trip since 1994 when Steve
Nash played.
1/24/05
New Mexico at BYU (+1.5)
- 7:00pm Pacific - Game #725-726
The Cougars may be a good value in the
coming weeks, especially at home. They have
battled through injuries and
inexperience while playing a difficult
schedule this year. They have featured 14
different starting lineups in just 19
games playing the likes of North Carolina
and NC State from the ACC, St. Mary's and
Santa Clara from the WCC, Utah State twice,
and four Pac-10 teams. Starting forward
Garner Meads returned from injury five games
ago and the team appears ready to play
improved basketball very soon. The Cougars
have always been dynamite at the Marriott
Center, and even though they are 0-2 in MWC
home games thus far, both games (SDSU by 2,
Air Force by 3) were very close and could
have gone either way. They are ready to get
over the hump tonight. New Mexico will most
likely be without leading scorer & rebounder
Danny Granger (knee) for the third straight
game. He is by far their best player and
they are a very ordinary team without him.
The Lobos have only played 4 of their 19
games away from home and are 1-3 in those
games with only win coming vs lowly New
Mexico State. They should not be giving
points in any conference game on the road
without a healthy Granger.
Added Look: BYU +1.5 1/2
UNIT
11/26/05
Western Michigan at Miami, Ohio
(-2) - 4:00pm Pacific - Game
#729-730
Miami, Ohio is 7-0 in home games this year
and I am willing to lay -2 on them at home
vs any MAC team. The Redhawks have solid
senior leadership in guard Chet Mason and
forward Danny Horace both on and off the
court. They are well coached and play smart
basketball. Head coach Charlie Coles said
after a win two games ago at Eastern
Michigan by 10 that his team finally got the
energy back that they had in impressive
early season wins over Purdue and at
Xavier. They followed up that win with a
win over Ohio U last time out in which they
went on a 22-3 run early in the second
half. Western Michigan is coming off a
heartbreaking one point home loss to Ball
State, their first in conference. They now
must try to bounce back from that playing on
the road for just the third time in
conference and probably their toughest MAC
opponent yet. The Broncos are 2-0 in MAC
road games thus far but needed a late rally
to win at Northern Illinois by 3 and 9 point
win at BGSU was closer than final score
indicates. Western Michigan ranks high in
many MAC team statistical categories but
their schedule ranks 8th strongest in
conference compared to Miami who has played
the 4th toughest. This is Miami's biggest
home game of the year and I look for them to
get the job done.
Added Look: Miami, Ohio -2
1/2 UNIT
Clemson at Miami, Fla (-2.5)
- 4:30pm Pacific - Game #761-762
Their has not been this much excitement
about basketball in Coral Gables for quite
some time. The Hurricanes had won 11 of 12
games including three straight ACC games
before losing back to back games vs Duke and
North Carolina. They look to get back on
track tonight. This is the type of game
they must win for them to keep their
postseason hopes alive. First year head
coach Frank Haith has this team playing very
well and second year guard Guillermo Diaz
has proven to be one of the leagues elite
players. This team gave Duke a run for
their money in last home game and will be a
tough out for anyone here. Clemson has lost
four straight games and will be playing
their fourth road game in last five
outings. They are coming off a loss
at Virginia who had previously been winless
in the ACC. In that game Clemson shot
30 3-point attempts and allowed UVA to shoot
57% from the field for the game. Clemson
coach Oliver Purnell appears to be leaning
more to younger players and building for the
future at this point. Expect Miami to
improve to 4-2 in ACC play.
Added Look: Miami, Fla -2.5
1/2 UNIT
Ole Miss at LSU (-6)
- 5:00pm Pacific - Game #784-784
The Tigers have been playing solid
basketball since New Years. Their record is
only 4-3 in last seven games but the three
losses have come at Utah, at Alabama, and at
Kentucky. Not only are all three teams
ranked, but they are a combined 30-1 at
home. Meanwhile, the four wins came vs
Florida State, South Carolina, Arkansas, and
Ohio State, four solid teams. The Tigers
have looked very comfortable at home (8-1
record) and should continue their winning
ways tonight. Ole Miss is coming off two
very hard fought and intense home games vs
Kentucky and Alabama. Versus Kentucky they
blew a 15 point lead and let the game slip
away in the final minute. Versus Alabama
they only committed 2 turnovers, led by 6 at
half and by as many as 8 in second half but
wilted down the stretch again. I really do
not think this team has enough left in the
tank to go out and battle for a road
victory. Their only two wins in conference
play have come against two of the worst SEC
teams, Georgia and Auburn. Their only SEC
road game vs a quality team resulted in a 23
point loss at Arkansas. Take the Tigers and
give the points.
Added Look: LSU -6 1/2 UNIT
1/27/05
San Francisco at Santa Clara
(-5.5) - 7:00pm Pacific - Game
#541-542
Santa Clara has played exceptionally well
since New Year's. After a nailbiting 4
point loss to Gonzaga they have reeled off
four straight wins, all by double digits.
The last three all coming on the road at St.
Mary's by 23, at LMU by 11, and most
recently at Pepperdine by 12. I was at the
Pepperdine game and can say that they are
solid in all faucets of the game. Backcourt
combo of Kyle Bailey and Doron Perkins is
very good. Forward Travis Niesen is a solid
scoring threat around the basket. The
return of center Sean Denison 3 weeks
back has solidified the frontcourt. There
is plenty of depth and an abundance of
3-point shooting threats. USF has won three
straight games but all were at home. They
now go on the road where they have struggled
this year going 2-5 overall and 0-2 in WCC
play. They went 0-2 on the same Los
Angeles (Pepperdine, LMU) road trip that
Santa Clara just swept. Santa Clara is the
better team and with home court advantage
should cover this number.
Added Look: Santa Clara -5.5
1/2 UNIT
UCSB at UC Riverside (-2)
- 7:00pm Pacific - Game #547-548
It appeared as if UCR was done for when they
lost leading scorer and rebounder Vili
Morton for the season to a knee
injury. Strange as it may sound, they have
actually played better since the injury.
The Highlanders played their best game of
the season in first game without Morton,
blowing out UC Irvine here by 13 in a game
that was not even that close. They followed
that up by beating Long Beach State for
their second conference win. They then lost
narrowly on the road at Idaho and as
expected lost badly at Utah State. The team
is playing a lot more loose now as they do
not always have to be concerned with getting
the ball inside which often was a tough task
for them. They now return home for
homecoming weekend and have another very
winnable game vs a badly undermanned UCSB
team. The Gauchos finally had reality set
in last Saturday as they were beaten handily
by Pacific. UCSB has only 7 healthy
players, period, and one of them starting
center Glenn Turner is limited by an ankle
injury. UCSB is 1-7 in road games and 0-3
in conference road games so far this season.
Added Look: UC Riverside -2
1/2 UNIT
1/29/05
Ohio State at Northwestern (+1) -
9:15am Pacific - Game #525-526
The Wildcats had won 6 of 7 games including their Big 10 opener
vs Indiana by 21 points before being hurt by injuries/suspension
and having to play a brutal three game stretch at Michigan
State, at Michigan, and vs #1 Illinois. They lost all three
games and then a fourth straight at Penn State by 3 points but
bounced back nicely in last game upsetting a ranked Iowa team in
overtime. Three NW starters have missed time in recent
weeks and reserve Evan Seacat also missed two games. A fourth
starter, leading scorer Vedran Vukusic was narrowly able to not
miss any playing time despite recent shoulder injury. He
played 43 solid minutes in last game. Starting center Mike
Thompson missed one game and was limited to 14 minutes off the
bench in last game for reportedly missing classes. His playing
time should increase Saturday which will put the Wildcats as
close to full strength as they have been all season. Even with
the missing players they played competitively against Illinois
and Michigan. Northwestern went 6-2 in Big Ten home games last
year and probably have a better team this year. They are 2-1 at
home in conference play thus far with only loss vs #1 Illinois.
Ohio State is struggling recently. They have lost four of their
last five games and had to hold off lowly Penn State in last
game winning by only 6 in Columbus. Ohio State is 0-5 in road
games this year including 0-3 in Big 10 road games.
Added Look: Northwestern +1 1/2 UNIT
UCSB at Cal State Fullerton (-7) -
5:05pm Pacific - Game #639-640
Fullerton took a bit of a step back after losing senior C/F
Hardy Aspirilla (knee) for the season. They lost their next
three games, although two were on the road against upper
division conference foes Idaho and Utah State. They returned
home Thursday and won big over Cal Poly by 23 in a game that was
not even that close. They are now 6-1 in home games. The
Titans are for the most part going with a small lineup but they
are still very talented, athletic, and can be very difficult to
defend. They will be looking to avenge four straight losses to
UCSB. Two years ago UCSB won two close ones, one in overtime.
Last year UCSB won at Fullerton in double OT and in Santa
Barbara by 33. Both are still fresh in CSUF players minds.
UCSB reserve sophomore David Kennedy played on Thursday for the
first time in several weeks giving the Gauchos 8 healthy
bodies. He is really a non-factor as he played just seven
minutes and did not attempt a shot. UCSB managed only 50 points
against Riverside and were outrebounded by 20. I do not believe
oddsmakers realize just how undermanned this team really is.
Give the points.
Added Look: Cal State Fullerton -7 1/2 UNIT
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