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2004 - Week 7 - Early Looks
Three early looks
this week:
Kansas State -2 over Kansas
The Wildcats answered a lot of questions with
their solid performance at Texas A&M last week.
KSU was beaten soundly at home by Fresno State
in the second week of September and were not
very impressive in beating an overmatched
UL-Lafayette team in following game either.
First year starting QB Dylan Meier was just
4-of-10 with an interception in Fresno loss
before being benched. His start at Texas A&M
was his first ever on the road and first vs a
Big 12 opponent. Meier finished the game
completing 29-of-45 passes for 246 yards and
threw to eight different receivers. Masterful
head coach Bill Snyder definitely had a
productive BYE week as it was by far his new
QB's best career performance. In addition to
good stats, Meier also exhibited toughness and
leadership that had not been seen before. KSU
lost the game but showed heart in coming back
from multiple double digit deficits to get
within as few as 5 in the 4th quarter. The
Wildcats were their own worse enemy with three
fumbles on their own 12, 5, and 2 yard line all
of which led to Texas A&M touchdowns. One
occurred with KSU up 7-0 in the first quarter
and another in the second half shortly after KSU
had narrowed the lead to 21-17. In both
instances KSU had seized momentum of the game
but gave it back and then some with the
fumbles. KSU has owned this series winning and
covering 10 straight. Snyder has shown little
mercy for instate opponent outscoring the
Jayhawks 146-to-12 in last three meetings. KU
is starting to field a competitive program and
it will be important that KSU continues its
dominance for recruiting and bragging rights. I
look for KSU to continue to move forward off
last game while KU is battling confidence issues
after three straight losses. KSU head coach
Snyder is 7-3 ATS as a road favorite the past
three seasons and is 27-15 ATS all time
following a straight up loss.
Vanderbilt -6 over Rutgers
With 21 returning starters and an experienced
QB, there were high expectations for this
years Vandy team. They could have easily won
2 of their first 3 games but really could not
catch any breaks. They had a key turnover,
two key bad calls, and gave up a lead late at
Ole Miss. They then fell just short at Navy
who is now 5-0 despite two costly fumbles.
Both games were lost by a combined 6 points.
They finally exercised their demons last week
with a convincing 31-13 win over Mississippi
State. Vanderbilt will now look for their
second straight win of the season against a
banged up Rutgers team. The Scarlet Knights
are 2-2 but have not won a game that they did
not benefit from a defensive touchdown in.
They upset Michigan State in season opener but
then lost to I-AA opponent New Hampshire and
followed that up with a narrow win over Kent
State despite being outgained yardage wise.
They came off a BYE week to face Syracuse in
last game and gave up a whopping 501 yards to
a Syracuse offense that had averaged only 270
yards per game coming in. Rutgers got very
little push from their offensive line (3 yards
per carry) and was only able to stay in the
game thanks to a horrible, banged up Syracuse
secondary that was leaving the same receivers
and same plays open time after time. As of
this writing, Rutgers has four offensive
starters listed as questionable for this game:
WR Daniels, RB Leonard, WR Tucker, and OL
McDonald. I still do not think Vanderbilt has
played their best football yet and finally
getting a win might do wonders for
their psyche.
UL Lafayette pick over New Mexico
State
ULL head coach Rickey Bustle was offensive
coordinator at Virginia Tech for six years
before coming here. He is in his third
season and has instituted his own version of
"Beamer Ball." Like Virginia Tech, the Ragin
Cajuns emphasize special teams
and fundamentals. Dating back to last
season, ULL has won 7 of their last 10 games
with only losses coming at Southern Miss
(last year), at Louisiana Tech by 4, and at
Kansas State by 20. The performance at
Louisiana Tech this year was impressive as
they led the game in the 4th quarter. The
Cajuns feature a confident sophomore QB in
Jerry Babb who can beat teams with both his
arm and feet. He is experienced with 9
starts as a redshirt freshman last year. He
had his best game of the season last week at
Florida International completing 30-of-42
passes in a 43-34 win. He has already
passed for 1,116 yards and ran for 239 (6.1
average) this season. NSMU is coming off
two consecutive beatings by bitter rivals
New Mexico and UTEP. They have shown very
little life in the two games losing 31-3 to
the Lobos and 45-0 to the Miners last week.
NMSU starting QB Buck Pierce (shoulder)
played only sparingly in last game but UTEP
starter Jordan Palmer left the game very
early with a concussion after completing
three of three passes and it was still a
blowout. NMSU head coach Tony Samuel may be
on his way out and the Aggies got more bad
news on the injury front with both starting
LB's Cotrell and Glover not finishing the
game. Samuel called them the anchors of the
defense and hoped to get at least one back
in time for this game. ULL has covered four
straight road games and look to stay
undefeated in Sun Belt play.
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