*Three plays
Tuesday:
San
Diego at Wyoming (-7.5, play to -8.5)
- 6:00pm Pacific - Game #533-534
The Cowboys
backed up their surprising road win at
Creighton with a convincing win over
Washington State at home last week. The
final margin was only two points but Wyoming
led by double digits for a good part of the
second half including a 14 point lead with 5
minutes to play. Today leading scorer Steve
Leven (20.2) is expected to return to action
after missing the last five games due to a
partially torn MCL. The injury did not
require surgery. The Cowboys also had to
play their first four games without starting
guard Dion Sherrell. This will be the
first time this season that Sherrell and
Leven will be on the court together. Senior
guard Jay Straight (16.1ppg, 5.2apg) is
basically a 4 year starter and is very
solid. JC transfer F/C Justin Williams has
blocked 16 shots in last four games and now
leads the MWC in that category. With
Williams at 6-10, center Alex Dunn at 7-0,
and forward Derek Wabbington at 6-9, Wyoming
has plenty of size to counter San Diego's
front line which is where the Toreros get
most of their offense.
San Diego has
had some bad losses this year, that include
an exhibition loss to Division I-AA Cal Poly
Pomona, a 9 point loss to Texas Arlington,
and home losses to San Jose State and San
Diego State by 20. They have put together a
modest 3 game win streak heading into this
game but all three were at home against
suspect competition in Eastern Washington,
Northern Arizona, and most recently over a
still struggling UCSB team. The
Toreros went 0-15 on the road last year and
are just 1-3 this year with lone win coming
at San Jose State in second meeting of the
season.
Wyoming blew a 9
point lead late vs Kansas State in game
played in Casper, Wyoming, or they would
have four quality wins (Princeton, at
Creighton, vs Wash State being the
others)under their belt. San Diego has
none. The Cowboys are still a perfect 4-0
here in Laramie. This team appears to be on
an upswing right now which will only be
helped by the return of leading scorer Leven.
The Cowboys rarely lose at home under any
circumstances and this is an opponent they
should be able to handle comfortably. Give
the points.
Official Play:
Wyoming -7.5 1 UNIT
Long
Beach State (+7.5, play to +6.5) at UCSB - 7:05pm Pacific
- Game #539-540
The 49ers are
only 2-7 straight up but are 7-2 ATS
this year and have covered four straight
games since losing our 2 UNIT play at LMU.
They lost a heartbreaker at the buzzer to
Portland before participating in the Rainbow
Classic last week in Hawaii where they went
1-2, losing to eventual champion Hawaii and
Georgetown. On a positive note, the team
played outstanding defense, allowing just
49.3ppg and .302 field goal percentage in
the three games. The Rainbow classic marked
the debut of Oklahoma State transfer Onye
Ibekwe who at 6-8, 254 adds some much needed
muscle to the front court. It is no
surprise that the defense would improve with
his arrival. JC transfer forward Shawn
Hawkins hit a put back at the buzzer to beat
Indiana State in last game and continues to
get more and more comfortable. He leads the
team in scoring and minutes played while
currently is second in rebounds. Starting
center Anthony Coleman has been slowed by
a sore shins and did not play in second game
of Rainbow Classic vs Georgetown but is
expected to be ready to go for conference
play today. Long Beach's frontline can
compete with any in the Big West and the
backcourt should be able to hold its own
against suspect Gaucho guards.
UCSB comes in
with just a 2-5 record themselves and have
been decimated by injuries all season. Top
inside player Cameron Goettsche (missed 4
weeks of practice and 2 games) has been
slowed by a groin injury and top perimeter
player Cecil Brown (knee/ankle) has not
played this year and still remains
sidelined. Brown missed 6 weeks with a knee
injury and had planned to come back last
week vs SDSU but sprained his ankle in
practice the day before the game. Two other
reserves, forwards Chris Devine and David
Kennedy have not played this year and remain
out. The Gauchos have not looked pretty.
They are shooting just .415 from the field
and allowing opponents to shoot .457 while
being outrebounded by a -1.0 margin. They
have played two home games and were blown
out here by 18 vs San Diego State and
struggled to get by Montana. No one
has played consistently well for the
Gauchos, forward Glenn Turner (2.4ppg) and
guard Joe See (8-for-34 from behind the arc)
have been disappointments.
541 fans showed
up for last UCSB home game vs Montana. With
students still on Winter break home court
advantage will be less significant than
normal. Santa Barbara is really not playing
well right now and 7.5 is a lot of points in
what figures to be a very low scoring game.
Long Beach has some favorable matchups here
and should at least be able to keep this
game close. Take the points.
Official Play:
Long Beach State +7.5 1 UNIT
CS-Fullerton at CS-Northridge (Over 156,
play to 160) - 7:05pm
Pacific - Game #545-546
Oddsmakers
really could not make this total high
enough. Both of these teams are
undersized and looking to run. CSUN
games are averaging 155.5ppg but they
have only had one home game and will
surely have more offensive success at
the Matadome. Fullerton meanwhile is
coming off a 102-92 game as they finally
unleashed two big time scoring threats
in Ralphy Holmes (25 points last game)
and Jamaal Brown (29 points last game).
Both players were ineligible during the
first semester. They struggled in their
first game at SDSU but really put on a
show last time out. Fullerton has some
big time scoring talent but did not play
much defense in last game allowing
Denver to shoot 63% for the game. The
Titan interior defense leaves a lot to
be desired. They went to a zone in the
second half and looked confused and out
of position giving up several easy
baskets. They play loose defense as
they can ill afford any type of foul
trouble. Both teams prefer an up tempo
style and I see no reason why this game
will not get into the 160's or beyond.
Official
Play: Over 156 2 UNITS
(Play 2 UNITS to 160, 1 UNIT to 164)